Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 44.17%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Coventry City had a probability of 26.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.07%) and 1-2 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Coventry City win it was 1-0 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.