We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Queens Park Rangers
With the pressure ramping up on both managers, this feels like an important fixture for differing reasons. While we think that QPR will give a good account of themselves, we are backing Boro to get off the mark in their wins tally, potentially through a late goal.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 19.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.