West Brom4 - 2Middlesbrough
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, August 18 at 8pm in Championship
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in Championship
We said: West Bromwich Albion 2-1 Middlesbrough
West Brom have looked vulnerable on the road so far this season, but back-to-back home games in the next week will hand the Baggies a real opportunity to find some consistency. Boro have not looked like the same team who threatened to catch Sheffield United in the automatic-promotion race last term, and we are expecting another loss for Boro in the Black Country. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Bromwich Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Middlesbrough |
38.53% ( -0.74) | 25.81% ( 0.16) | 35.65% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 54.8% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.58% ( -0.66) | 49.41% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.54% ( -0.6) | 71.46% ( 0.6) |
| West Bromwich Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.84% ( -0.7) | 25.15% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.12% ( -0.97) | 59.87% ( 0.97) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.22% ( 0.02) | 26.77% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.94% ( 0.03) | 62.06% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.61% Total : 38.53% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 35.65% |
