MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 22:05:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 13
Nov 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Den
Burnley logo

Millwall
1 - 0
Burnley

Cooper (52')
Cooper (21'), Bryan (23')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sarmiento (88'), Mejbri (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Millwall and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 0-0 QPR
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-2 Burnley

This could prove to be one of the more competitive games of the weekend, Millwall having shown that they could emerge as surprise promotion contenders through the playoffs. However, Burnley are difficult to beat regardless of whether they are playing home or away, and we are backing the Clarets to come through by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 27.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
MillwallDrawBurnley
44.89% (-0.354 -0.35) 27.66% (0.205 0.2) 27.45% (0.147 0.15)
Both teams to score 46.12% (-0.467 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.91% (-0.643 -0.64)59.09% (0.643 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.46% (-0.502 -0.5)79.54% (0.499 0.5)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76% (-0.473 -0.47)26.24% (0.472 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.66% (-0.637 -0.64)61.34% (0.636 0.64)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.52% (-0.233 -0.23)37.48% (0.231 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.74% (-0.228 -0.23)74.26% (0.226 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 44.89%
    Burnley 27.45%
    Draw 27.65%
MillwallDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 13.15% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.8% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 44.89%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.83% (0.236 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.65%
0-1 @ 9.65% (0.173 0.17)
1-2 @ 6.34% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.74% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 27.45%

How you voted: Millwall vs Burnley

Millwall
24.8%
Draw
30.5%
Burnley
44.8%
105
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Millwall
1-1
Burnley
Bradshaw (85')
Barnes (51')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Burnley
2-0
Millwall
Vitinho (62'), Rodriguez (72')
Sep 23, 2020 7pm
Third Round
Millwall
0-2
Burnley
Brownhill (45'), Vydra (90+3')
Brownhill (53'), Thomas (56'), Westwood (78')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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