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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 27.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Burnley |
44.89% ( -0.35) | 27.66% ( 0.2) | 27.45% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 46.12% ( -0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.91% ( -0.64) | 59.09% ( 0.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.46% ( -0.5) | 79.54% ( 0.5) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.76% ( -0.47) | 26.24% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.66% ( -0.64) | 61.34% ( 0.64) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.52% ( -0.23) | 37.48% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.74% ( -0.23) | 74.26% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 13.15% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.03% Total : 44.89% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.65% | 0-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.72% Total : 27.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
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