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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Millwall |
30.99% ( -0.37) | 24.63% ( -0.14) | 44.38% ( 0.51) |
Both teams to score 57.45% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.62% ( 0.48) | 45.37% ( -0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.29% ( 0.46) | 67.71% ( -0.46) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.29% ( -0.01) | 27.7% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.74% ( -0) | 63.26% ( -0) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.46% ( 0.42) | 20.54% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.95% ( 0.67) | 53.05% ( -0.67) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Millwall |
2-1 @ 7.42% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 30.99% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.78% Total : 44.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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