MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 18:09:28| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 10
Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Home Park
Millwall logo

Plymouth
0 - 2
Millwall


Miller (31'), Pleguezuelo (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Flemming (59'), Saville (90+7')
McNamara (52'), Cooper (54'), Campbell (54'), Leonard (89'), Wallace (90+4'), Norton-Cuffy (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 0-3 Swansea
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-0 Millwall

With very little separating the sides in the table, home form could be a decisive factor in determining the outcome here. Plymouth have shown fine form at home with three big wins so far this season and are slight favourites to make that four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.38%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMillwall
30.99% (-0.373 -0.37) 24.63% (-0.142 -0.14) 44.38% (0.51 0.51)
Both teams to score 57.45% (0.305 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.62% (0.479 0.48)45.37% (-0.482 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.29% (0.456 0.46)67.71% (-0.45999999999999 -0.46)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)27.7% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.74% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)63.26% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (0.425 0.42)20.54% (-0.43 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95% (0.669 0.67)53.05% (-0.675 -0.67)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 30.99%
    Millwall 44.38%
    Draw 24.63%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawMillwall
2-1 @ 7.42% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-0 @ 7.3% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-0 @ 4.69% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.18% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 30.99%
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.87% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.69% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.63%
1-2 @ 9.15% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
0-1 @ 9.01% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-2 @ 7.13% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.83% (0.09 0.09)
0-3 @ 3.76% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.1% (0.058 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.91% (0.059 0.06)
0-4 @ 1.49% (0.046 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 44.38%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Millwall

Plymouth Argyle
80.0%
Draw
15.0%
Millwall
5.0%
40
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2018 7.45pm
Second Round
Millwall
3-2
Plymouth
Williams (64' pen.), Gregory (84'), O'Brien (89')
Ness (41'), Ladapo (67')
Edwards (63'), Ness (90')
Nov 10, 2015 7.45pm
Area Quarter-Finals
Plymouth
3-5
Millwall
Jervis (34'), Carey (56'), Kervis (85')
Purrington (91')
Gregory (21', 43', 49', 58'), O'Brien (66')
Webster (93')
Apr 15, 2006 3pm
Oct 30, 2005 3pm
Mar 20, 2005 3pm
Millwall
3-0
Plymouth
Sweeney (15'), Hayles (56'), Dichio (63')

Gudjonsson (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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