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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Coventry City

Norwich
3 - 0
Coventry

Pukki (14'), Sargent (45+1'), Dowell (81')
Byram (45')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Norwich City 2-0 Coventry City

Given the difference in quality and form between the two sides, it is difficult to envisage the Sky Blues leaving Carrow Road with a positive result on Saturday. The Canaries have quickly built momentum and found ways to win in their last two tight affairs, but we would not be surprised to see a slightly more comfortable victory on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawCoventry City
40.7% (0.837 0.84) 24.9% (-0.762 -0.76) 34.4% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Both teams to score 57.77% (2.624 2.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.5% (3.4 3.4)45.5% (-3.397 -3.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.17% (3.162 3.16)67.83% (-3.16 -3.16)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71% (1.921 1.92)22.29% (-1.92 -1.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.25% (2.804 2.8)55.75% (-2.8 -2.8)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.34% (1.578 1.58)25.66% (-1.576 -1.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.44% (2.098 2.1)60.56% (-2.096 -2.1)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 40.7%
    Coventry City 34.4%
    Draw 24.89%
Norwich CityDrawCoventry City
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.138 0.14)
1-0 @ 8.59% (-0.767 -0.77)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.306 0.31)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.33 0.33)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.199 0.2)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.097 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.179 0.18)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 40.7%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.49 -0.49)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.351 0.35)
0-0 @ 5.72% (-0.874 -0.87)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.202 0.2)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.89%
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.031 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.796 -0.8)
0-2 @ 5.29% (-0.285 -0.29)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.172 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.27 0.27)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.109 0.11)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.128 0.13)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.4%

How you voted: Norwich vs Coventry

Norwich City
86.3%
Draw
6.8%
Coventry City
6.8%
73
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2021 7pm
Coventry
0-2
Norwich

Da Costa (4')
Pukki (28'), Buendia (45+1')
Hanley (17'), Gibson (70'), Cantwell (84')
Jan 9, 2021 12pm
Norwich
2-0
Coventry
McLean (6'), Hugill (7')
McLean (53'), Cantwell (66'), Hanley (87')

Hamer (63')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Norwich
1-1
Coventry
Vrancic (27' pen.)
Sorensen (55'), McAlear (90+2'), Aarons (90+2')
Biamou (89')
Aug 23, 2016 7.45pm
Norwich
6-1
Coventry
Lafferty (25'), Canos (36', 80'), Martin (58'), Murphy (63'), Godfrey (86')
Thompson (42')
Lameiras (56' pen.)
Jul 26, 2016 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley126511751223
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
8Bristol City134721717019
9Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
10Middlesbrough135351415-118
11Millwall124441512316
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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