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Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Coventry City

Norwich
3 - 0
Coventry

Pukki (14'), Sargent (45+1'), Dowell (81')
Byram (45')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Norwich City 2-0 Coventry City

Given the difference in quality and form between the two sides, it is difficult to envisage the Sky Blues leaving Carrow Road with a positive result on Saturday. The Canaries have quickly built momentum and found ways to win in their last two tight affairs, but we would not be surprised to see a slightly more comfortable victory on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 34.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawCoventry City
40.7% (0.837 0.84) 24.9% (-0.762 -0.76) 34.4% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Both teams to score 57.77% (2.624 2.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.5% (3.4 3.4)45.5% (-3.397 -3.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.17% (3.162 3.16)67.83% (-3.16 -3.16)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71% (1.921 1.92)22.29% (-1.92 -1.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.25% (2.804 2.8)55.75% (-2.8 -2.8)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.34% (1.578 1.58)25.66% (-1.576 -1.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.44% (2.098 2.1)60.56% (-2.096 -2.1)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 40.7%
    Coventry City 34.4%
    Draw 24.89%
Norwich CityDrawCoventry City
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.138 0.14)
1-0 @ 8.59% (-0.767 -0.77)
2-0 @ 6.44% (-0.19 -0.19)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.306 0.31)
3-0 @ 3.22% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.98% (0.33 0.33)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.199 0.2)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.097 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.179 0.18)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 40.7%
1-1 @ 11.67% (-0.49 -0.49)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.351 0.35)
0-0 @ 5.72% (-0.874 -0.87)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.202 0.2)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.89%
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.031 0.03)
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.796 -0.8)
0-2 @ 5.29% (-0.285 -0.29)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.172 0.17)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.27 0.27)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.109 0.11)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.128 0.13)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.4%

How you voted: Norwich vs Coventry

Norwich City
86.3%
Draw
6.8%
Coventry City
6.8%
73
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2021 7pm
Coventry
0-2
Norwich

Da Costa (4')
Pukki (28'), Buendia (45+1')
Hanley (17'), Gibson (70'), Cantwell (84')
Jan 9, 2021 12pm
Norwich
2-0
Coventry
McLean (6'), Hugill (7')
McLean (53'), Cantwell (66'), Hanley (87')

Hamer (63')
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Norwich
1-1
Coventry
Vrancic (27' pen.)
Sorensen (55'), McAlear (90+2'), Aarons (90+2')
Biamou (89')
Aug 23, 2016 7.45pm
Norwich
6-1
Coventry
Lafferty (25'), Canos (36', 80'), Martin (58'), Murphy (63'), Godfrey (86')
Thompson (42')
Lameiras (56' pen.)
Jul 26, 2016 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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