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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Leicester City |
38.04% ( -0.3) | 25.69% ( 0.02) | 36.28% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 55.3% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.2% ( -0.06) | 48.8% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.1% ( -0.05) | 70.9% ( 0.06) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.86% ( -0.19) | 25.14% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.15% ( -0.26) | 59.85% ( 0.27) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.88% ( 0.14) | 26.12% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.81% ( 0.18) | 61.19% ( -0.18) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Leicester City |
1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 38.04% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.17% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.32% Total : 36.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 60 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 57 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Millwall | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 37 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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