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Championship header 2

Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
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Norwich
1 - 0
Stoke

Stacey (44')
Giannoulis (43'), Fassnacht (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Leris (20'), Pearson (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship

Stoke City

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Preston
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-0 Stoke City

 Although both teams suffered defeat immediately before the international break, Norwich have look by far the superior side in recent games. With that in mind, we can only predict a home win for the Canaries, heaping the pressure on Neil in the opposite dugout. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Norwich City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Norwich City.

Result
Norwich CityDrawStoke City
41.1% (0.175 0.17) 26.59% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 32.3% (-0.129 -0.13)
Both teams to score 51.54% (0.089999999999996 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.72% (0.135 0.13)53.28% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.17% (0.117 0.12)74.83% (-0.11399999999999 -0.11)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (0.15299999999999 0.15)25.55% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.59% (0.21 0.21)60.41% (-0.208 -0.21)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.22% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)30.78% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.95% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)67.05% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 41.1%
    Stoke City 32.3%
    Draw 26.59%
Norwich CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.73% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.63% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.32% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.33% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 41.1%
1-1 @ 12.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.86% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 9.27% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.46% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.93% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 32.3%

How you voted: Norwich vs Stoke

Norwich City
60.5%
Draw
15.8%
Stoke City
23.7%
38
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
Stoke
0-0
Norwich
> Preview
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Norwich
3-1
Stoke
Ramsey (38', 71'), Sara (77')
Powell (90+2')
> Preview
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 29
Norwich
4-1
Stoke
Cantwell (15'), Pukki (44', 80' pen.), Buendia (64')
Powell (61')
Powell (42'), Obi Mikel (43')
> Match Report
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 13
Stoke
2-3
Norwich
Campbell (70'), Collins (79')
Batth (18'), Fletcher (28')
Buendia (18'), Pukki (27', 57')
Stiepermann (23'), Hanley (58'), Buendia (64')
Buendia (69')
> Match Report
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 44
Stoke
2-2
Norwich
Williams (47'), Edwards (69')
Hernandez (24'), Pukki (66')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310
> Championship Full Table


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