Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Norwich City in this match.