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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Swansea logo

Norwich
2 - 2
Swansea

Sara (34'), Sargent (45+3')
Gunn (53'), McCallum (77'), McLean (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Paterson (24'), Grimes (53' pen.)
Paterson (45'), Cullen (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Huddersfield 0-4 Swansea
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-1 Swansea City

This has the makings of an entertaining encounter given that Swansea have been one of the form teams in the division over the past couple of weeks. However, we cannot ignore Norwich's home form, leading us to predict a hard-earned triumph for the Canaries. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 20.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Swansea City win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawSwansea City
57.3% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 21.79% (0.013000000000002 0.01) 20.91% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 57.16% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.8% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)41.19% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.4% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)63.59% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.82% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)14.17% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.14% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)41.85% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.59% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)33.4% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.97% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)70.03% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 57.3%
    Swansea City 20.91%
    Draw 21.79%
Norwich CityDrawSwansea City
2-1 @ 9.91%
1-0 @ 9.25% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.04% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 6.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 3.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.88% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 57.3%
1-1 @ 10.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.43%
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.79%
1-2 @ 5.56% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 5.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.85% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 20.91%

How you voted: Norwich vs Swansea

Norwich City
67.3%
Draw
19.2%
Swansea City
13.5%
52
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Swansea
2-1
Norwich
Lowe (3'), Humphreys (83')
Lowe (48'), Key (52'), Cullen (55'), Cooper (76')
Sara (22')
Gibson (18'), Rowe (61')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Norwich
0-3
Swansea
Latibeaudiere (23'), Cullen (39'), Ntcham (64')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Swansea
0-1
Norwich
Pukki (1')
Feb 5, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 28
Swansea
2-0
Norwich
Ayew (42'), Hourihane (48')
Bennett (65'), Guehi (69'), Woodman (84')

Idah (67'), Vrancic (78')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 11
Norwich
1-0
Swansea
Stiepermann (84')
Aarons (88')

Guehi (17'), Naughton (36'), Bennett (38'), Fulton (55'), Roberts (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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(ret.)
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester453141089395097
2Ipswich TownIpswich452712690573393
3Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4517131569571264
10Preston North EndPreston45189185664-863
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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