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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Swansea City win it was 1-2 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Norwich City | Draw | Swansea City |
57.3% ( -0.04) | 21.79% ( 0.01) | 20.91% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 57.16% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.8% ( -0.04) | 41.19% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.4% ( -0.04) | 63.59% ( 0.04) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.82% ( -0.03) | 14.17% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.14% ( -0.05) | 41.85% ( 0.04) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.59% ( -0) | 33.4% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.97% ( -0) | 70.03% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Norwich City | Draw | Swansea City |
2-1 @ 9.91% 1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.89% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 57.3% | 1-1 @ 10.14% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.43% 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.79% | 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.85% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.99% 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 20.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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