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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Bristol City

Norwich
1 - 1
Bristol City

Sainz (58')
Mehmeti (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Roberts (55')
Williams (90+2'), McLean (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Preston 0-1 Norwich
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 2-1 Bristol City

Despite the relentlessness of Norwich at Carrow Road, we expect Bristol City to push them all the way here. However, that may still not be enough, and the Canaries could edge this fixture in the final quarter of the game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 55.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Norwich CityDrawBristol City
55.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.26% (0.47 0.47) 20.3% (-0.465 -0.47)
Both teams to score 48.36% (-2.07 -2.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.56% (-2.403 -2.4)52.44% (2.4 2.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.89% (-2.099 -2.1)74.11% (2.098 2.1)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.19% (-0.902 -0.9)18.8% (0.9 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.77% (-1.525 -1.53)50.23% (1.523 1.52)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.55% (-1.868 -1.87)40.44% (1.865 1.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.94% (-1.732 -1.73)77.05% (1.73 1.73)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 55.42%
    Bristol City 20.3%
    Draw 24.26%
Norwich CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 12.7% (0.82 0.82)
2-0 @ 10.61% (0.4 0.4)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 5.92% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.226 -0.23)
4-0 @ 2.47% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.234 -0.23)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.163 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.13 -0.13)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 55.42%
1-1 @ 11.5% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 7.61% (0.698 0.7)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.284 -0.28)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.26%
0-1 @ 6.88% (0.305 0.31)
1-2 @ 5.21% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-2 @ 3.12% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 20.3%

How you voted: Norwich vs Bristol City

Norwich City
70.0%
Draw
30.0%
Bristol City
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Dec 3, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 19
Bristol City
1-2
Norwich
Knight (34')
Tanner (72')
Tanner (59' og.), Idah (90+5')
Duffy (26')
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Bristol City
0-1
Norwich
Placheta (49')
Giannoulis (79'), Forshaw (86'), Barnes (90+5')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Sep 14, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Norwich
3-2
Bristol City
Pukki (11', 23'), Sargent (65')
Conway (44'), Semenyo (77')
Jan 20, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 25
Norwich
2-0
Bristol City
Hugill (37', 76')
Cantwell (51')

Palmer (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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