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EFL Cup
Plymouth Argyle
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Home Park
Leyton Orient

Plymouth
2 - 0
Leyton Orient

Waine (25', 38')
Cundle (48')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Brown (22'), Pigott (44'), Sotiriou (46'), Obiero (90+2'), Sodje (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Plymouth Argyle and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Huddersfield
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Championship

Leyton Orient

All competitions
Last Game: Charlton 1-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Leyton Orient

 With both managers likely to make wholesale changes for this match, it could be an open match at Home Park, with plenty of mistakes and a lack of match fitness on display. However, the hosts should be able to call upon greater strength in depth having signed some quality first-team players during the summer transfer window, and we expect them to narrowly progress to the second round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 52.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 23.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLeyton Orient
52.46% (0.367 0.37) 24.34% (-0.099 -0.1) 23.19% (-0.263 -0.26)
Both teams to score 51.92% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.36% (0.148 0.15)49.64% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.34% (0.132 0.13)71.66% (-0.126 -0.13)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.11% (0.202 0.2)18.89% (-0.197 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.64% (0.333 0.33)50.36% (-0.327 -0.33)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64% (-0.16 -0.16)35.99% (0.165 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.22% (-0.164 -0.16)72.77% (0.17 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 52.46%
    Leyton Orient 23.19%
    Draw 24.34%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 11.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.44% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.25% (0.068 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.19% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 52.46%
1-1 @ 11.57% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.95% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.92% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.55% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 23.19%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Leyton Orient

Plymouth Argyle
75.0%
Draw
15.0%
Leyton Orient
10.0%
20
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2020 7.45pm
Second Round
Leyton Orient
3-2
Plymouth
Dennis (55'), McAnuff (74'), Johnson (90+3')
Camara (19'), Watts (34')
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 39
Leyton Orient
P-P
Plymouth
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Plymouth
4-0
Leyton Orient
Grant (14'), Rudden (17'), McFadzean (34'), Widdowson (45' og.)
Cooper (55'), Wootton (66')
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Plymouth
2-0
Leyton Orient
McFadzean (59'), Telford (62')
Grant (84')
Feb 14, 2017 7.45pm
Plymouth
2-3
Leyton Orient
Sarcevic (10'), Kennedy (65')
Kennedy (82')
Massey (43', 88'), Semedo (90')
Kennedy (37'), Parkes (37'), Hunt (42'), Semedo (52'), Kelly (70')
rhs 2.0
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