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Gillingham
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Southampton logo

Gillingham
3 - 1
Southampton

Nadesan (12'), McKenzie (51', 67')
Lapslie (27'), Jefferies (58'), McKenzie (65'), Ehmer (88'), Gbode (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Alcaraz (89')
Martin (28'), Perraud (44'), Charles (64'), Lyanco (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Gillingham and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 0-1 Gillingham
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-2 Southampton
Friday, August 4 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Gillingham 0-2 Southampton

Southampton's strength in depth is very impressive, and head coach Martin will still be able to name a strong XI even if he makes wholesale changes from the clash with Sheffield Wednesday. Gillingham boss Evans will also rest some important players, so we are expecting this to be a comfortable game for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 63.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 15.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Gillingham win it was 1-0 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
GillinghamDrawSouthampton
15.61% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01) 20.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 63.87% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.16% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.84% (0.015000000000001 0.02)44.16% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.46% (0.015000000000001 0.02)66.54% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.89%41.11% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.35% (0.0010000000000012 0)77.65% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.86% (0.010000000000005 0.01)13.14% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.2% (0.018000000000001 0.02)39.8% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 15.61%
    Southampton 63.86%
    Draw 20.53%
GillinghamDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 4.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 4.33% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 2.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.3%
3-1 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 15.61%
1-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.4% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 4.4%
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 20.53%
0-2 @ 11.12%
0-1 @ 10.96%
1-2 @ 9.89%
0-3 @ 7.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 6.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 3.82% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 3.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-5 @ 1.55% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 63.86%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Southampton

Gillingham
17.9%
Draw
3.6%
Southampton
78.6%
28
Head to Head
May 1, 2010 3pm
Gillingham
2-1
Southampton
Gowling (51'), Howe (19')
Howe (90')
Connolly (65')
Fonte (12'), Mills (50'), Martin (77')
Oct 3, 2009 3pm
Southampton
4-1
Gillingham
Lambert (13'), Lallana (44', 74'), Waigo N'Diaye (35')
Trotman (43')
Rooney (27')
Weston (79'), Gowling (90')
rhs 2.0
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