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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Home Park
Leicester logo

Plymouth
1 - 0
Leicester

Bundu (21')
Miller (30'), Forshaw (41'), Hardie (49'), Whittaker (50'), Waine (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ndidi (45+4'), Vestergaard (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 1-1 QPR
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Leicester City

Given the manner in which Plymouth have improved of late, we would not be surprised to see the Pilgrims earn a share of the spoils here. However, the Foxes' superior quality in the final third may lead to them edging a late win at Home Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52.9%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLeicester City
25.33% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 21.77% (0.012 0.01) 52.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.11% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.03% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)35.97% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.93% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)58.07% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.2% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)26.8% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.91% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)62.09% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.22% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)13.78% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.9% (-0.055 -0.05)41.1% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 25.33%
    Leicester City 52.9%
    Draw 21.77%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 6.35%
1-0 @ 4.86% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.2% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 25.33%
1-1 @ 9.64% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.69% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.77%
1-2 @ 9.55% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.32% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.25% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 2.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 2.06% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.24% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
3-4 @ 0.9% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 52.9%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Leicester

Plymouth Argyle
12.8%
Draw
18.3%
Leicester City
68.8%
109
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Leicester
4-0
Plymouth
Mavididi (14' pen., 52'), Daka (49'), Ndidi (55')

Gibson (42'), Miller (44'), Galloway (67')
Feb 20, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
1-1
Leicester
Noone (39')
Arnason (26')
Arnason (32' og.)
Brown (54'), Gallagher (78')
Nov 21, 2009 3pm
Feb 9, 2008 3pm
Leicester
0-1
Plymouth

Howard (30'), Hume (78'), Laczko (90')
Halmosi (34')
Connolly (45')
Sep 1, 2007 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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