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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Home Park
Leicester logo

Plymouth
1 - 0
Leicester

Bundu (21')
Miller (30'), Forshaw (41'), Hardie (49'), Whittaker (50'), Waine (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ndidi (45+4'), Vestergaard (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 1-1 QPR
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Leicester City

Given the manner in which Plymouth have improved of late, we would not be surprised to see the Pilgrims earn a share of the spoils here. However, the Foxes' superior quality in the final third may lead to them edging a late win at Home Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52.9%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLeicester City
25.33% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 21.77% (0.012 0.01) 52.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.11% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.03% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)35.97% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.93% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)58.07% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.2% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)26.8% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.91% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)62.09% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.22% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)13.78% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.9% (-0.055 -0.05)41.1% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 25.33%
    Leicester City 52.9%
    Draw 21.77%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 6.35%
1-0 @ 4.86% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.2% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 25.33%
1-1 @ 9.64% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.69% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.77%
1-2 @ 9.55% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.32% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.25% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 2.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 2.06% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.24% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
3-4 @ 0.9% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 52.9%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Leicester

Plymouth Argyle
12.8%
Draw
18.3%
Leicester City
68.8%
109
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Leicester
4-0
Plymouth
Mavididi (14' pen., 52'), Daka (49'), Ndidi (55')

Gibson (42'), Miller (44'), Galloway (67')
Feb 20, 2010 3pm
Plymouth
1-1
Leicester
Noone (39')
Arnason (26')
Arnason (32' og.)
Brown (54'), Gallagher (78')
Nov 21, 2009 3pm
Feb 9, 2008 3pm
Leicester
0-1
Plymouth

Howard (30'), Hume (78'), Laczko (90')
Halmosi (34')
Connolly (45')
Sep 1, 2007 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
5.30pm
Swiatek
Sabalenka
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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