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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
King Power Stadium
Birmingham logo

Leicester
2 - 1
Birmingham

Dewsbury-Hall (28'), Mavididi (87')
Faes (34'), Mavididi (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stansfield (45')
James (19'), Bielik (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Preston
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leicester City 3-1 Birmingham City

Leicester cannot afford any more unexpected slip-ups in the automatic promotion race, with Saturday's clash against Birmingham a good chance to earn maximum points. Blues will be more confident heading to the King Power following the Preston success, but we are still expecting the Foxes to come out on top in the East Midlands. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 71%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 11.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester CityDrawBirmingham City
71% (0.57599999999999 0.58) 17.28% (-0.23 -0.23) 11.72% (-0.344 -0.34)
Both teams to score 51.42% (-0.318 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.75% (0.16699999999999 0.17)38.25% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.47% (0.175 0.18)60.53% (-0.176 -0.18)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.43% (0.181 0.18)9.57% (-0.1811 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.98% (0.423 0.42)32.02% (-0.422 -0.42)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.86% (-0.466 -0.47)43.14% (0.466 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.59% (-0.395 -0.4)79.41% (0.396 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City 70.99%
    Birmingham City 11.72%
    Draw 17.28%
Leicester CityDrawBirmingham City
2-0 @ 11.36% (0.09 0.09)
1-0 @ 9.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-0 @ 8.89% (0.143 0.14)
3-1 @ 7.48% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 5.22% (0.125 0.13)
4-1 @ 4.39% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.45% (0.078 0.08)
5-1 @ 2.06% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 0.96% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 70.99%
1-1 @ 8.14% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 1%
Total : 17.28%
0-1 @ 3.47% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-2 @ 3.42% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-2 @ 1.46% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-3 @ 0.96% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 11.72%

How you voted: Leicester vs Birmingham

Leicester City
84.4%
Draw
6.3%
Birmingham City
9.4%
64
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Fourth Round
Leicester
3-0
Birmingham
Vardy (47'), Akgun (72'), Praet (88')

Roberts (65'), Roberts (77')
Dec 18, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 22
Birmingham
2-3
Leicester
James (14', 74')
Mavididi (10', 50'), Dewsbury-Hall (21')
Mavididi (10')
Aug 26, 2020 1pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Birmingham
0-2
Leicester
Mar 4, 2020 7.45pm
Aug 1, 2015 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Birmingham
2-3
Leicester
Cotterill (23'), Gray (24')
Huth (59'), Drinkwater (76'), Okazaki (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds372310474235179
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd37247652282477
3Burnley372015250113975
4Sunderland371912655342169
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom371317747331456
6Coventry CityCoventry37168135248456
7Bristol City37131594740754
8Middlesbrough37158145748953
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn37157154138352
10Watford37157154750-352
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds37149145358-551
12Norwich CityNorwich371213125952749
13Millwall371212133639-348
14Queens Park RangersQPR371111154248-644
15Preston North EndPreston37917113743-644
16Swansea CitySwansea37128173847-944
17Portsmouth37119174559-1442
18Hull City371010173846-840
19Stoke CityStoke37912163750-1339
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd37912163855-1739
21Cardiff CityCardiff37812174061-2136
22Derby CountyDerby3798203749-1235
23Luton TownLuton3797213460-2634
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth37712183874-3633


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