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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Bristol City

Middlesbrough
1 - 2
Bristol City

Silvera (90+1')
Barlaser (73')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Knight (16'), James (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Bristol City

Apart from the 6-1 thrashing at the hands of Chelsea in the EFL Cup, Middlesbrough have arguably created the chances to win all of their recent matches, so Boro should be confident of earning three points on Saturday. Bristol City did well to take their top-flight opponents to penalty kicks on Wednesday night, although we believe that the Robins' wait for a win will continue at the Riverside. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBristol City
44.17% (-0.53 -0.53) 26.56% (-0.147 -0.15) 29.28% (0.683 0.68)
Both teams to score 50.34% (0.826 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.79% (0.88 0.88)54.21% (-0.873 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.38% (0.731 0.73)75.62% (-0.72500000000001 -0.73)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.59% (0.129 0.13)24.41% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.17% (0.178 0.18)58.83% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.59% (0.98599999999999 0.99)33.41% (-0.97900000000001 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.96% (1.064 1.06)70.04% (-1.058 -1.06)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 44.17%
    Bristol City 29.28%
    Draw 26.55%
MiddlesbroughDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.5% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 8.89%
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.22 -0.22)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 44.17%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.15% (-0.282 -0.28)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.128 0.13)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.55%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.065 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.91% (0.158 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.9% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.123 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.08 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 29.28%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Bristol City

Middlesbrough
73.1%
Draw
19.2%
Bristol City
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Bristol City
3-2
Middlesbrough
Gardner-Hickman (37'), Conway (45+1' pen.), Sykes (67')
Gardner-Hickman (42'), Pring (77')
Vyner (50' og.), Crooks (52')
Fry (44'), Greenwood (63')
Apr 10, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 41
Bristol City
2-2
Middlesbrough
Bell (45+1'), Cornick (49')
Ramsey (58'), Crooks (64')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Bristol City
2-1
Middlesbrough
Weimann (7'), Semenyo (68')
Williams (9'), Scott (40')
Crooks (90')
Crooks (17')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Middlesbrough
2-1
Bristol City
Ikpeazu (38'), Crooks (70')
King (60')
Atkinson (24')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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