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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Bristol City

Middlesbrough
1 - 2
Bristol City

Silvera (90+1')
Barlaser (73')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Knight (16'), James (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Bristol City

Apart from the 6-1 thrashing at the hands of Chelsea in the EFL Cup, Middlesbrough have arguably created the chances to win all of their recent matches, so Boro should be confident of earning three points on Saturday. Bristol City did well to take their top-flight opponents to penalty kicks on Wednesday night, although we believe that the Robins' wait for a win will continue at the Riverside. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawBristol City
44.17% (-0.53 -0.53) 26.56% (-0.147 -0.15) 29.28% (0.683 0.68)
Both teams to score 50.34% (0.826 0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.79% (0.88 0.88)54.21% (-0.873 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.38% (0.731 0.73)75.62% (-0.72500000000001 -0.73)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.59% (0.129 0.13)24.41% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.17% (0.178 0.18)58.83% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.59% (0.98599999999999 0.99)33.41% (-0.97900000000001 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.96% (1.064 1.06)70.04% (-1.058 -1.06)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 44.17%
    Bristol City 29.28%
    Draw 26.55%
MiddlesbroughDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 11.5% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 8.89%
2-0 @ 8.11% (-0.22 -0.22)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 44.17%
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.15% (-0.282 -0.28)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.128 0.13)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.55%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.065 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.91% (0.158 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.9% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.123 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.08 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.093 0.09)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 29.28%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Bristol City

Middlesbrough
73.1%
Draw
19.2%
Bristol City
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Bristol City
3-2
Middlesbrough
Gardner-Hickman (37'), Conway (45+1' pen.), Sykes (67')
Gardner-Hickman (42'), Pring (77')
Vyner (50' og.), Crooks (52')
Fry (44'), Greenwood (63')
Apr 10, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 41
Bristol City
2-2
Middlesbrough
Bell (45+1'), Cornick (49')
Ramsey (58'), Crooks (64')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Bristol City
2-1
Middlesbrough
Weimann (7'), Semenyo (68')
Williams (9'), Scott (40')
Crooks (90')
Crooks (17')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 2
Middlesbrough
2-1
Bristol City
Ikpeazu (38'), Crooks (70')
King (60')
Atkinson (24')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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