We said: Preston North End 2-0 Reading
Preston North End have been on a fantastic recent run of form, and although they have struggled at home for large parts of the campaign, the victory against rivals Blackpool in their last game here should be a morale-boosting result.
Not only that, but Reading have been very poor away from home all season, and we cannot see that changing against a side in playoff contention, with the likely result being a comfortable home win.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 54.98%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Reading had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.