MX23RW : Saturday, January 11 22:13:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Millwall logo

Reading
0 - 1
Millwall


Ince (0'), Ince (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Voglsammer (11' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Reading and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 0-1 Sheff Utd
Tuesday, March 7 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 2-3 Norwich
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Reading 0-1 Millwall

News of Reading's imminent six-point deduction has appeared to have distracted the playing staff, and the visit of a strong Millwall side is not an occasion to have the focus elsewhere. The Lions put in a valiant effort despite defeat against Norwich last Saturday, and they should be able to return to winning ways in Berkshire as the playoff race intensifies. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 48.63%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Reading had a probability of 25.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.33%) and 1-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.4%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
ReadingDrawMillwall
25.12% (-0.148 -0.15) 26.25% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 48.63% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Both teams to score 48.25% (-0.163 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.55% (-0.148 -0.15)55.45% (0.145 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.36% (-0.121 -0.12)76.64% (0.119 0.12)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.53% (-0.213 -0.21)37.47% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75% (-0.21 -0.21)74.25% (0.208 0.21)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)22.84% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.44% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)56.56% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Reading 25.12%
    Millwall 48.63%
    Draw 26.25%
ReadingDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 8.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 6.09% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.12% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.99% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.47% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.35% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 25.12%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 8.56% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 12.63% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 9.33% (0.052 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.16%
0-3 @ 4.59% (0.026 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.51%
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.7% (0.01 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 48.63%

How you voted: Reading vs Millwall

Reading
28.6%
Draw
22.9%
Millwall
48.6%
35
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Nov 25, 2020 7pm
Millwall
1-1
Reading
Wallace (45+1')
Cooper (10'), Williams (52'), Hutchinson (70'), Leonard (85')
Joao (53')
Semedo (30'), Morrison (55'), Ejaria (60'), Holmes (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
9.30pm
Chargers
@
Texans
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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