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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Birmingham logo

Reading
1 - 1
Birmingham

Carroll (7')
Fornah (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jutkiewicz (29')
Bielik (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Reading and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Reading
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Blackburn
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Reading 1-2 Birmingham City

Reading are in a dangerous situation following their six-point deduction and desperately need three points to ease their understandable relegation worries. Birmingham will be hopeful of continuing a decent run of results and performances in Berkshire on Friday, and we believe they will do just that to all but secure their Championship safety. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawBirmingham City
38.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.15% (0.0010000000000012 0) 33.95% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 50.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.84% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)55.16% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.6% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)76.4% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.62% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.84% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)63.16% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.38% (0.0020000000000095 0)30.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.13% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.87% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Reading 38.89%
    Birmingham City 33.95%
    Draw 27.15%
ReadingDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.88%
2-1 @ 8.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7%
3-1 @ 3.55%
3-0 @ 3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 1.14%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 38.89%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 8.46% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 10.01%
1-2 @ 7.62%
0-2 @ 5.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 33.95%

How you voted: Reading vs Birmingham

Reading
33.3%
Draw
12.5%
Birmingham City
54.2%
24
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2022 8pm
Birmingham
3-2
Reading
Deeney (2', 23' pen.), Chong (36')
Bielik (43')
Joao (82'), Ince (90+4')
Feb 22, 2022 8pm
Reading
2-1
Birmingham
Joao (67'), Swift (73' pen.)
McIntyre (82' og.)
Pedersen (31'), Bela (51'), Hernandez (72')
Nov 6, 2021 3.30pm
Birmingham
1-2
Reading
Hogan (3')
Bela (30'), Dean (34'), Oakley (38'), McGree (55')
Clarke (70', 82')
Holmes (76')
Mar 17, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 9, 2020 7.45pm
Reading
1-2
Birmingham
Meite (61')
Meite (90+3')
Toral (29', 37')
Hogan (39'), Dean (67'), Etheridge (80'), Leko (88')
Dean (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley126511751223
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
8Bristol City134721717019
9Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
10Middlesbrough135351415-118
11Millwall124441512316
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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