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Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Birmingham logo

Reading
1 - 1
Birmingham

Carroll (7')
Fornah (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jutkiewicz (29')
Bielik (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Reading and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Reading
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Blackburn
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Reading 1-2 Birmingham City

Reading are in a dangerous situation following their six-point deduction and desperately need three points to ease their understandable relegation worries. Birmingham will be hopeful of continuing a decent run of results and performances in Berkshire on Friday, and we believe they will do just that to all but secure their Championship safety. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
ReadingDrawBirmingham City
38.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.15% (0.0010000000000012 0) 33.95% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 50.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.84% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)55.16% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.6% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)76.4% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.62% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.84% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)63.16% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.38% (0.0020000000000095 0)30.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.13% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.87% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Reading 38.89%
    Birmingham City 33.95%
    Draw 27.15%
ReadingDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 10.88%
2-1 @ 8.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7%
3-1 @ 3.55%
3-0 @ 3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.1%
4-1 @ 1.14%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 38.89%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 8.46% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.9%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 10.01%
1-2 @ 7.62%
0-2 @ 5.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 2.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.93%
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 33.95%

How you voted: Reading vs Birmingham

Reading
33.3%
Draw
12.5%
Birmingham City
54.2%
24
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2022 8pm
Birmingham
3-2
Reading
Deeney (2', 23' pen.), Chong (36')
Bielik (43')
Joao (82'), Ince (90+4')
Feb 22, 2022 8pm
Reading
2-1
Birmingham
Joao (67'), Swift (73' pen.)
McIntyre (82' og.)
Pedersen (31'), Bela (51'), Hernandez (72')
Nov 6, 2021 3.30pm
Birmingham
1-2
Reading
Hogan (3')
Bela (30'), Dean (34'), Oakley (38'), McGree (55')
Clarke (70', 82')
Holmes (76')
Mar 17, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 9, 2020 7.45pm
Reading
1-2
Birmingham
Meite (61')
Meite (90+3')
Toral (29', 37')
Hogan (39'), Dean (67'), Etheridge (80'), Leko (88')
Dean (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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