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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Reading logo

Bristol City
1 - 1
Reading

Conway (45+2')
Taylor-Clarke (23'), Mehmeti (65'), James (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Joao (72')
Holmes (4'), Yiadom (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reading 1-1 Hull City
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 2-1 Reading

Both teams required the international break to reset ahead of the run-in, and it remains to be seen who that suited the most. With home advantage in their favour, we have to back Bristol City, albeit in a close match and where they may only prevail by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 53.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Reading had a probability of 21.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Reading win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Bristol CityDrawReading
53.82% (0.098000000000006 0.1) 25.05% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 21.13% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 47.27% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.52% (0.078000000000003 0.08)54.48% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.16% (0.065999999999999 0.07)75.84% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.77% (0.072000000000003 0.07)20.23% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.45% (0.11199999999999 0.11)52.55% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.26% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)40.74% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.68% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)77.32% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 53.81%
    Reading 21.13%
    Draw 25.04%
Bristol CityDrawReading
1-0 @ 13.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.52% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.45% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.61% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 2.24% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.9% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 53.81%
1-1 @ 11.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.24% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 7.4% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.31% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.59% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.27%
0-3 @ 1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 21.13%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Reading

Bristol City
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Reading
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Feb 9, 2022 7.45pm
Bristol City
2-1
Reading
Semenyo (44'), Morrison (47' og.)
Kalas (32'), Dasilva (67'), Martin (82'), Williams (90+6')
Swift (74' pen.)
Holmes (22')
Aug 17, 2021 8pm
Reading
2-3
Bristol City
Azeez (19'), Moore (81')
Weimann (5', 52'), Martin (14')
James (90+2')
Feb 16, 2021 7.45pm
Bristol City
0-2
Reading

Hunt (20'), Lansbury (67'), Moore (76'), Bakinson (90+3')
Joao (42'), Morrison (45')
Richards (37'), Ejaria (69'), Olise (75')
Nov 28, 2020 12.30pm
Reading
3-1
Bristol City
Ejaria (54'), Meite (76'), Joao (90+2')
Wells (73')
Moore (65'), Martin (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Portsmouth2458113041-1123
23Hull City2658132536-1123
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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