We said: Reading 1-1 Preston North End
With nine points being collected from four games, Preston deserve to be regarded as the marginal favourites for this game. Nevertheless, a clean sheet at Luton should do Reading the world of good, leading us to predict a hard-fought share of the spoils being played out in Berkshire.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Reading had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.