Championship | Gameweek 7
Sep 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium
We said: Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Swansea City
QPR have not actually beaten Swansea at home in any competition since January 2020, with their last success in the league at Loftus Road coming in April 2019. This is a match that could go either way, but we have a feeling that QPR will be able to navigate their way to an important three points.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.43% . A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 23.52% .
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.57%) and 1-2 (9.5%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%) , while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 1-0 (7.46%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood .
Result Queens Park Rangers Draw Swansea City 23.52% ( -0.03) 25.05% ( -0.15) 51.43% ( 0.18)
Both teams to score 50.16% ( 0.4)
47.85% ( 0.54) 52.15% ( -0.55)
26.13% ( 0.47) 73.86% ( -0.47)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
62.91% ( 0.27) 37.08% ( -0.27)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 26.13% ( 0.27) 73.87% ( -0.27)
79.72% ( 0.29) 20.27% ( -0.29)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 47.37% ( 0.46) 52.63% ( -0.46)
Queens Park Rangers 23.52%
Swansea City 51.42%
Draw 25.04%
Queens Park Rangers Draw Swansea City 1-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.7% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 1.72% Total : 23.52% 1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.04% 0-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 9.57% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 5.09% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.05% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.67% Total : 51.42%
How you voted: QPR vs Swansea
Queens Park Rangers
Draw
Swansea City
41
rhs 2.0
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