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EFL Cup
Swansea logo
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 29, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Bournemouth logo

Swansea
2 - 3
Bournemouth

Grimes (9' pen.), Paterson (79')
Ginnelly (24'), Abdulai (52'), Naughton (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Brooks (55'), Traore (68'), Christie (90+1')
Brooks (21'), Senesi (39'), Solanke (86'), Kerkez (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Swansea City and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Preston 2-1 Swansea
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Championship

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-2 Spurs
Saturday, August 26 at 12.30pm in Premier League

We said: Swansea City 1-3 Bournemouth

 Bournemouth have a stronger squad than Swansea, and we are expecting the Premier League outfit to book their spot in the third round of the competition. The Cherries have enjoyed their recent matches against Swansea, and we are backing that to continue in Tuesday's affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 21.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawBournemouth
56.05% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 22.12% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 21.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.41% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.49% (0.017000000000003 0.02)41.51% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.09% (0.015000000000001 0.02)63.91% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.33% (0.007000000000005 0.01)14.67% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.17% (0.015999999999998 0.02)42.83% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.72% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.73% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)69.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 56.05%
    Bournemouth 21.83%
    Draw 22.12%
Swansea CityDrawBournemouth
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.21% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.84% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 6.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.66% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.03% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 56.05%
1-1 @ 10.29%
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.12%
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 5.36% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 21.83%

How you voted: Swansea vs Bournemouth

Swansea City
21.0%
Draw
15.0%
Bournemouth
64.0%
100
Head to Head
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
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3-3
Bournemouth
Piroe (6', 12'), Christie (58')
Christie (45+4'), Smith (53')
Moore (72', 90'), Solanke (81' pen.)
Lowe (30'), Anthony (56'), Phillips (67'), Billing (75'), Lerma (84'), Solanke (90+6')
> Preview
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Bournemouth
4-0
Swansea
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Billing (29'), Solanke (40')

Downes (30'), Bennett (39'), Ntcham (53')
> Preview
Mar 16, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Bournemouth
3-0
Swansea
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Rico (58')
> Match Report
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Bournemouth
Smith (10')
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> Match Report
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Fraser (37')
King (51')

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> Match Report
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516
> Premier League Full Table


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