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Championship | Gameweek 6
Sep 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Swansea logo

Cardiff
2 - 0
Swansea

Tanner (71'), Ramsey (86' pen.)
Tanner (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Fulton (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 3-2 Cardiff
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-2 Bristol City
Saturday, September 2 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-1 Swansea City

With confidence relatively low in each of these camps, we are expecting a war of attrition over a match full of quality. In the end, though, we can only predict a share of the spoils, one that would not necessarily suit either team. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSwansea City
37.08% (0.00099999999999767 0) 27.31%35.61% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 49.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)55.63% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.21% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)76.79% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.09% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)28.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.21% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)64.79% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.19% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)29.81% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)65.89% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 37.08%
    Swansea City 35.61%
    Draw 27.31%
Cardiff CityDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.69%
2-1 @ 8.03%
2-0 @ 6.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.32%
3-0 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 2.01%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 37.08%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 8.62% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 10.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-2 @ 6.31%
1-3 @ 3.16%
0-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 35.61%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Swansea

Cardiff City
60.0%
Draw
30.0%
Swansea City
10.0%
40
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Cardiff
2-3
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (35'), Kaba (83')
Piroe (3'), Cullen (33'), Cabango (90+9')
Oct 23, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 17
Swansea
2-0
Cardiff
Cooper (38'), Obafemi (67')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Cardiff
0-4
Swansea

Doyle (39'), Ralls (80')
Obafemi (6', 82'), Cabango (57'), Wolf (78')
Wolf (29'), Fisher (59'), Downes (69'), Piroe (80')
Oct 17, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 12
Swansea
3-0
Cardiff
Paterson (29'), Piroe (60'), Bidwell (74')
Manning (63')

Bacuna (26'), Vaulks (90+1')
Mar 20, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 38
Swansea
0-1
Cardiff
Flint (8')
Morrison (45+1'), Vaulks (81'), Brown (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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