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Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Coventry Building Society Arena
Leeds logo

Coventry
2 - 1
Leeds

Simms (9'), Wright (49')
Bidwell (62'), Sheaf (71'), Simms (88'), Eccles (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Piroe (76')
Gruev (8'), Ampadu (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Hull City
Monday, April 1 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Coventry City 1-2 Leeds United

With Coventry generally strong at the CBS Arena, they should give a good account of themselves on Saturday. Nevertheless, we would back Leeds to defeat anyone in the division right now, leading us to predict a hard-earned triumph for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Coventry City in this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawLeeds United
38.3% (-2.248 -2.25) 24.79% (1.237 1.24) 36.91% (1.019 1.02)
Both teams to score 58.51% (-4.485 -4.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.3% (-5.869 -5.87)44.7% (5.875 5.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.94% (-5.921 -5.92)67.06% (5.928 5.93)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.86% (-3.631 -3.63)23.14% (3.639 3.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.99% (-5.622 -5.62)57.01% (5.629 5.63)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.12% (-2.13 -2.13)23.88% (2.138 2.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.93% (-3.155 -3.16)58.08% (3.163 3.16)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 38.3%
    Leeds United 36.91%
    Draw 24.79%
Coventry CityDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-0 @ 8.09% (1.156 1.16)
2-0 @ 5.92% (0.254 0.25)
3-1 @ 4.13% (-0.575 -0.57)
3-2 @ 2.96% (-0.632 -0.63)
3-0 @ 2.89% (-0.199 -0.2)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.411 -0.41)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.385 -0.39)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.205 -0.21)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 38.3%
1-1 @ 11.58% (1.01 1.01)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.526 -0.53)
0-0 @ 5.53% (1.285 1.29)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.415 -0.42)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.79%
1-2 @ 8.3% (0.225 0.23)
0-1 @ 7.92% (1.444 1.44)
0-2 @ 5.67% (0.731 0.73)
1-3 @ 3.96% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.457 -0.46)
0-3 @ 2.71% (0.195 0.2)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.242 -0.24)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 36.91%

How you voted: Coventry vs Leeds

Coventry City
6.7%
Draw
33.3%
Leeds United
60.0%
15
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Leeds
1-1
Coventry
Summerville (58')
Summerville (49'), Meslier (66'), Ampadu (75')
Thomas (66')
Simms (66'), Collins (82'), Eccles (88'), Palmer (88'), Sheaf (90+7')
Feb 14, 2012 7.45pm
Coventry
2-1
Leeds
McSheffrey (21' pen., 90' pen.)
McSheffrey (90')
McCormack (32')
Pugh (20'), White (90')
Oct 18, 2011 7.45pm
Feb 5, 2011 3pm
Nov 6, 2010 3pm
Coventry
2-3
Leeds
Turner (64'), Jutkiewicz (52')
Carsley (54')
Gradel (61' pen.), Howson (4'), Snodgrass (40')
Collins (45'), Faye (55'), Brown (72'), Becchio (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd27176438172155
3Burnley27141123192253
4Sunderland27149439221751
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2712693124742
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom27914433221141
7Middlesbrough27118844341041
8Watford27125103837141
9Bristol City2791083331237
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
11Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
12Queens Park RangersQPR2781183034-435
13Swansea CitySwansea2797113033-334
14Coventry CityCoventry2788113537-232
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2788113041-1132
16Preston North EndPreston2761382834-631
17Millwall2679102424030
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Derby CountyDerby2776143137-627
20Cardiff CityCardiff2769122941-1227
21Hull City2768132636-1026
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2775152744-1726
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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