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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 28.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Rotherham United |
43.98% ( -0.03) | 27.45% ( 0.01) | 28.57% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 47.36% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.16% ( -0.01) | 57.84% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.44% ( -0) | 78.56% ( 0) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.87% ( -0.02) | 26.13% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.8% ( -0.03) | 61.2% ( 0.03) |
Rotherham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.11% ( 0.02) | 35.89% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.34% ( 0.02) | 72.66% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Rotherham United |
1-0 @ 12.58% 2-1 @ 8.66% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 43.98% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 9.38% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.44% | 0-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) Other @ 1.97% Total : 28.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 60 | 19 | 41 | 63 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 41 | 21 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Burnley | 30 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 58 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 45 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 44 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
8 | Norwich CityNorwich | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 42 |
9 | Bristol City | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 42 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 46 | -3 | 42 |
11 | Coventry CityCoventry | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 41 |
12 | Watford | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Millwall | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 38 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 37 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 34 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 32 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 31 |
20 | Portsmouth | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 30 |
21 | Hull City | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 27 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 63 | -34 | 25 |
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