Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.