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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Leicester City |
35.89% ( 0.08) | 23.27% ( 0.02) | 40.85% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 64.11% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.63% ( -0.08) | 37.37% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.41% ( -0.09) | 59.59% ( 0.09) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.91% ( 0) | 21.09% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.09% ( 0) | 53.91% ( 0) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.24% ( -0.08) | 18.76% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.84% ( -0.13) | 50.16% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Leicester City |
2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 35.89% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.71% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.56% Total : 40.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
17 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
23 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
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