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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result | ||
Leicester City | Draw | Sunderland |
46.69% ( 0.57) | 23.56% ( -0.02) | 29.74% ( -0.55) |
Both teams to score 60.48% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.93% ( -0.2) | 41.07% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.53% ( -0.2) | 63.46% ( 0.2) |
Leicester City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.15% ( 0.14) | 17.84% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.4% ( 0.25) | 48.6% ( -0.25) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.62% ( -0.45) | 26.38% ( 0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.47% ( -0.6) | 61.53% ( 0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Leicester City | Draw | Sunderland |
2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 3.77% Total : 46.69% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.29% Total : 29.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 56 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 55 |
3 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
4 | Sunderland | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 51 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 42 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 27 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 41 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 41 |
9 | Bristol City | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 36 |
12 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 35 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 34 |
14 | Coventry CityCoventry | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 32 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 27 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 31 |
17 | Millwall | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Derby CountyDerby | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 27 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 27 |
21 | Hull City | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 26 |
22 | Portsmouth | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 21 |
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