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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Den
Sunderland

Millwall
1 - 1
Sunderland

Azeez (90+3')
Esse (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Connolly (10')
Aleksic (77'), Mepham (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-2 Coventry
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-0 Sunderland

Fresh and raring to fight following the two-week international break, Millwall should have the energy to produce another positive result against a promotion contender at The Den. Plagued by suspensions and injuries, we are expecting the Black Cats to struggle in the capital, leading to the end of their eight-game unbeaten run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.56%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawSunderland
32.92% (0.453 0.45) 29.43% (0.601 0.6) 37.64% (-1.053 -1.05)
Both teams to score 43.48% (-1.535 -1.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.58% (-1.916 -1.92)63.42% (1.915 1.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.23% (-1.401 -1.4)82.77% (1.4 1.4)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.38% (-0.70699999999999 -0.71)35.62% (0.704 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.61% (-0.736 -0.74)72.39% (0.73399999999999 0.73)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.54% (-1.627 -1.63)32.46% (1.626 1.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02% (-1.871 -1.87)68.98% (1.87 1.87)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 32.92%
    Sunderland 37.64%
    Draw 29.42%
MillwallDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 11.93% (0.61 0.61)
2-1 @ 6.93% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.16% (0.2 0.2)
3-1 @ 2.39% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.12% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 32.92%
1-1 @ 13.42% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 11.56% (0.8 0.8)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.226 -0.23)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.42%
0-1 @ 13.01% (0.35 0.35)
1-2 @ 7.56% (-0.286 -0.29)
0-2 @ 7.32% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.241 -0.24)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.156 -0.16)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 37.64%

How you voted: Millwall vs Sunderland

Millwall
55.6%
Draw
20.6%
Sunderland
23.8%
63
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Sunderland
0-1
Millwall

Clarke (12'), Ballard (87'), Bellingham (90+1')
Watmore (71' og.)
Obafemi (43'), Flemming (87')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Millwall
1-1
Sunderland
Nisbet (44')
Saville (67'), Bialkowski (74'), Cooper (78'), Bradshaw (81'), Watmore (90+4')
Clarke (78' pen.)
Burstow (25'), Clarke (32'), Ballard (45')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Millwall
1-1
Sunderland
Cooper (59')
Cirkin (81')
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 9
Sunderland
3-0
Millwall
Diallo (53'), Pritchard (58'), Simms (90+3')
Mar 3, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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