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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Stoke City |
42.25% ( -0.16) | 25.71% ( 0.25) | 32.04% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 54.28% ( -0.84) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.29% ( -1.08) | 49.71% ( 1.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.28% ( -0.98) | 71.72% ( 0.97) |
Blackburn Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.63% ( -0.55) | 23.37% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.66% ( -0.81) | 57.34% ( 0.81) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.83% ( -0.59) | 29.16% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.9% ( -0.73) | 65.1% ( 0.73) |
Score Analysis |
Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.03% Total : 42.25% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
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