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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 17, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Stoke
2 - 2
Middlesbrough

Brown (19'), Wright-Phillips (90+1')
Brown (41'), Baker (51')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Watmore (38'), Jagielka (63' og.)
Dijksteel (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Middlesbrough

At some point, the likelihood is that forward lines with plenty of quality will eventually find some form, and that could be the case on Wednesday. However, we feel that there is a greater vulnerability about Stoke, leading us to predict a narrow victory for the visitors. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawMiddlesbrough
40.07% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 27.7%32.24%
Both teams to score 48.18% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)57.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.68% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)78.32% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.91% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.76%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)33% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42%69.58% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 40.06%
    Middlesbrough 32.23%
    Draw 27.69%
Stoke CityDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 7.47%
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 1.11%
4-0 @ 1%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 40.06%
1-1 @ 13.04%
0-0 @ 9.27%
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.69%
0-1 @ 10.27%
1-2 @ 7.23%
0-2 @ 5.7%
1-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 32.23%

How you voted: Stoke vs Middlesbrough

Stoke City
33.6%
Draw
25.6%
Middlesbrough
40.8%
125
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Middlesbrough
3-1
Stoke
Crooks (21', 72'), Baker (25' og.)
Powell (90+4')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Stoke
1-0
Middlesbrough
Collins (19')
Campbell (69'), Brown (79')

Fry (26'), Saville (70'), Bola (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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