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Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 12, 2022 at 8pm UK
Vicarage Road
Burnley logo

Watford
1 - 0
Burnley

Cleverley (45+2')
Asprilla (88')
Kamara (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brownhill (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Watford and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Watford 1-2 Burnley

These two teams have the same number of points, and are also tied when it comes to goals for and goals against, so this should be an even match featuring a pair of sides who were both relegated from the Premier League last season. Burnley look a lot more comfortable under their new system, and we expect the Clarets' energy and aggressiveness will help them past the home side in this one, as Watford seem to be taking a little longer to develop some solid chemistry. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match.

Result
WatfordDrawBurnley
40.73%28.67%30.59% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 44.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.64%61.35% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.74%81.26% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.43%29.56% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.41%65.59% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.78% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)36.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)73%
Score Analysis
    Watford 40.72%
    Burnley 30.59%
    Draw 28.66%
WatfordDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 13.04%
2-1 @ 8.08%
2-0 @ 7.95%
3-1 @ 3.28%
3-0 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 1.67%
4-1 @ 1%
4-0 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 40.72%
1-1 @ 13.25%
0-0 @ 10.7%
2-2 @ 4.1%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.66%
0-1 @ 10.87%
1-2 @ 6.73%
0-2 @ 5.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.28%
0-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 30.59%

How you voted: Watford vs Burnley

Watford
33.5%
Draw
23.9%
Burnley
42.6%
176
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Watford
1-2
Burnley
Tarkowski (8' og.)
Kucka (87')
Cork (83'), Brownhill (86')
Tarkowski (48'), Collins (90+1')
Feb 5, 2022 6pm
Jan 19, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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