Championship | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Middlesbrough1 - 1Watford
The Match
Match Report
Ismaila Sarr's controversial first-half goal for Watford stood despite Boro claims for handball.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Watford |
| 28.99% | 27.43% | 43.57% |
| Both teams to score 47.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.39% | 57.61% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.62% | 78.38% |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.56% | 35.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.8% | 72.19% |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.76% | 26.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.66% | 61.34% |
| Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough 28.99%
Watford 43.57%
Draw 27.43%
| Middlesbrough | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 6.7% 2-0 @ 5% 3-1 @ 2.32% 3-0 @ 1.73% 3-2 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.05% Total : 28.99% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 9.3% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.43% | 0-1 @ 12.43% 1-2 @ 8.63% 0-2 @ 8.32% 1-3 @ 3.85% 0-3 @ 3.71% 2-3 @ 2% 1-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.09% Total : 43.57% |
How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Watford
Middlesbrough
8.4%Draw
19.3%Watford
72.3%83
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2020 7.45pm
Jan 14, 2017 3pm
Apr 6, 2015 12.30pm
Oct 25, 2014 3pm
Form Guide
