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Sunderland
Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium of Light
Watford logo

Sunderland
2 - 2
Watford

O'Nien (70'), Roberts (90+5')
Clarke (65'), O'Nien (78'), Diallo (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kabasele (17'), Porteous (69')
Choudhury (10'), Porteous (19'), Davis (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 1-2 Sunderland
Sunday, April 23 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-0 Watford
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Sunderland 2-0 Watford

With nothing to play for, Watford may be capable of producing one of their better recent performances. However, we can only back Sunderland to prevail from this fixture, building on an unbeaten run which has given them a chance of a return to the Premier League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Watford had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
SunderlandDrawWatford
47.78% (0.229 0.23) 25.7% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07) 26.52% (-0.155 -0.15)
Both teams to score 51.07% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.64% (0.18 0.18)52.36% (-0.177 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.95% (0.157 0.16)74.05% (-0.152 -0.15)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08% (0.178 0.18)21.92% (-0.175 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.81% (0.268 0.27)55.19% (-0.265 -0.27)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.41% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)34.59% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.69% (-0.032 -0.03)71.31% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Sunderland 47.77%
    Watford 26.52%
    Draw 25.69%
SunderlandDrawWatford
1-0 @ 11.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.69% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.42% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.68% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 47.77%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.58% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.92% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 8.05% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.49% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.27% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 26.52%

How you voted: Sunderland vs Watford

Sunderland
78.9%
Draw
5.3%
Watford
15.8%
19
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
gameweek 11
Watford
2-2
Sunderland
Davis (34'), O'Nien (62' og.)
Alese (45'), Bennette (87')
Roberts (59')
Apr 1, 2017 3pm
Watford
1-0
Sunderland
Britos (59')
Capoue (93')

Jones (72'), Khazri (77'), Kone (78')
Dec 17, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Middlesbrough26118743321141
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn2511682823539
8Bristol City2691073330337
9Watford25114103536-137
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2577112840-1228
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Portsmouth2458113041-1123
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Cardiff CityCardiff2558122540-1523
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2548132453-2920


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