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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Stoke City |
45.2% ( 0.23) | 25.7% ( 0.41) | 29.1% ( -0.63) |
Both teams to score 52.87% ( -1.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.13% ( -1.99) | 50.87% ( 1.99) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.24% ( -1.78) | 72.75% ( 1.78) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.53% ( -0.74) | 22.46% ( 0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.99% ( -1.11) | 56% ( 1.11) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.19% ( -1.48) | 31.8% ( 1.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.76% ( -1.73) | 68.24% ( 1.73) |
Score Analysis |
West Bromwich Albion | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.19% Total : 45.19% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.56) 2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 7% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.77% Total : 29.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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