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Henan
Chinese Super League playoffs | Ninth-12th Place Playoff
Nov 1, 2020 at 7.30am UK
Dalian University Stadium

Henan Jianye
3 - 2
Guangzhou R&F

Bassogog (41' pen.), Luo (76'), Karanga (90+2')
Karanga (15'), Luo (34'), Cao (80'), Niu (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ye (12'), Tosic (68')
Teng (40'), Tosic (45+4'), Tixiang (90+4')
Teng (63'), Tosic (80')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League playoffs Ninth-12th Place Playoff clash between Henan and Guangzhou City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou R&F win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Henan Jianye had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou R&F win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Henan Jianye win was 1-0 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
HenanDrawGuangzhou City
36.31%27.14%36.55%
Both teams to score 50.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.05%54.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.77%76.22%
Henan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.96%29.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.05%64.95%
Guangzhou City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1%28.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23%64.77%
Score Analysis
    Henan 36.3%
    Guangzhou City 36.54%
    Draw 27.14%
HenanDrawGuangzhou City
1-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 7.96%
2-0 @ 6.41%
3-1 @ 3.28%
3-0 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 2.04%
4-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 36.3%
1-1 @ 12.88%
0-0 @ 8.39%
2-2 @ 4.94%
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.14%
0-1 @ 10.41%
1-2 @ 8%
0-2 @ 6.47%
1-3 @ 3.31%
0-3 @ 2.68%
2-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 36.54%

Head to Head
Oct 27, 2020 7.30am
Ninth-12th Place Playoff
Guangzhou City
1-2
Henan
Mierzejewski (30')
Gong (23')
Gong (59')
Boxuan (33'), Wang (70')
Dourado (60'), Boxuan (84')
Sep 8, 2020 11am
Gameweek 29
Guangzhou City
3-1
Henan
Saba (12', 39'), Ye (43')
Ye (13'), Dembele (40')
Dourado (35' pen.)
Kim (30'), Ma (42'), Chow (58'), Dourado (60')
Aug 5, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 14
Henan
1-1
Guangzhou City
Boxuan (10')
Chow (6'), Dourado (32'), Hao (88')
Zahavi (59')
Chun Lok (5'), Zahavi (51'), Ye (85'), Miao (89')
Dec 1, 2019 7am
Gameweek 30
Henan
1-0
Guangzhou City
Xingyu (49')

Yunlong (10'), Gong (33')
Jun 29, 2019 12.35pm
Gameweek 15
Guangzhou City
2-0
Henan
Saba (44' pen., 65')
Gong (14'), Chugui (20'), Zhengyu (88')

Ablet (58')
rhs 2.0
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