Beijing Guoan

4 - 1

Qingdao Youth Island

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 46.97%. A win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 28.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Qingdao Youth Island win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Beijing Guoan would win this match.