Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jiangsu Suning win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Guangzhou R&F had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jiangsu Suning win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.27%) and 0-1 (5.23%). The likeliest Guangzhou R&F win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jiangsu Suning would win this match.