Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Shenzhen had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Shenzhen win was 0-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.

Result
Shanghai Shenhua	Draw	Shenzhen
50.24% ( 0.05)	24.42% ( -0.06)	25.33% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 53.97% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.95% (

0.25)

48.05% (

-0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.79% (

0.23)

70.21% (

-0.22)

Shanghai Shenhua Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.85% (

0.12)

19.15% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.2% (

0.19)

50.8% (

-0.19)

Shenzhen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.75% (

0.14)

33.25% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.13% (

0.15)

69.87% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Shanghai Shenhua 50.24%

Shenzhen 25.33%

Draw 24.42%

Shanghai Shenhua	Draw	Shenzhen
1-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.79% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.1% Total : 50.24%	1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.42%	0-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 25.33%