Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 51.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Al Ahly had a probability of 23.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for an Al Ahly win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Palmeiras in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Palmeiras.
