MX23RW : Thursday, November 14 20:03:44| >> :60:303:303:
Honduras national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Nov 16, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Francisco Morazan
Mexico national football team

Honduras
vs.
Mexico

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Honduras and Mexico, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Honduras

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Jamaica 0-0 Honduras
Tuesday, October 15 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League

Mexico

All competitions
Last Game: Mexico 2-0 USA
Wednesday, October 16 at 3.30am in International Friendlies

We say: Honduras 0-2 Mexico

 While Honduras will be keen to take a lead into a tricky away leg next week, we do not see the hosts having the quality to keep Mexico at bay and envisage Javier Aguirre's team taking control in San Pedro Sula. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Honduras win with a probability of 43.14%. A win for Mexico has a probability of 30.77% and a draw has a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Mexico win is 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.41%).

Result
HondurasDrawMexico
43.14%26.09% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 30.77% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 52.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)51.74% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)73.51%
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.18% (0.0030000000000001 0)23.82% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)57.99% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.05% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.36% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Honduras 43.14%
    Mexico 30.77%
    Draw 26.09%
HondurasDrawMexico
1-0 @ 10.61%
2-1 @ 8.9%
2-0 @ 7.61%
3-1 @ 4.26%
3-0 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 1.53%
4-0 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 43.14%
1-1 @ 12.41%
0-0 @ 7.4% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 8.65%
1-2 @ 7.26% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.06%
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 1.97%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 30.77%

Who will win Saturday's CONCACAF Nations League clash between Honduras and Mexico?

Honduras
Draw
Mexico
Honduras
18.2%
Draw
9.1%
Mexico
72.7%
11
Head to Head
Nov 22, 2023 2.30am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Mexico
2-0
Honduras
(Aggregate 2-2 | Mexico win 4-2 on penalties)
Chavez (43'), Alvarez (90+11')
Alvarez (10'), Chavez (51'), Sanchez (92'), Jimenez (117'), Romo (130'), Romo (130')

Rosales (42'), Lozano (68'), Menjivar (86'), Elis (90+3'), Maldonado (94')
Facusse (90+13'), Maldonado (115')
> Preview
Nov 18, 2023 2am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Honduras
2-0
Mexico
Lozano (30'), Rochez (72')
Rivas (45+2'), Rosales (52'), Lozano (58')

Sanchez (41'), Vasquez (90+3'), Malagon (90+7')
> Preview
Jun 26, 2023 1.30am
Group Stage
Mexico
4-0
Honduras
Romo (1', 23'), Pineda (52'), Chavez (64')
Sanchez (29'), Uriel (32')

Vega (20'), Elis (32')
> Preview
Mar 28, 2022 12.05am
Third Round
Honduras
0-1
Mexico
Alvarez (70')
> Preview
Oct 11, 2021 12am
Third Round
Mexico
3-0
Honduras
Cordova (18'), Funes Mori (76'), Lozano (86')
Montes (12')

Antonio Pereira Rodriguez (21'), Acosta (45+2')
Figueroa (49')
> Preview
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