CONCACAF Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Nov 16, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Francisco Morazan
Honduras2 - 0Mexico
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Jamaica 0-0 Honduras
Tuesday, October 15 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
Tuesday, October 15 at 2am in CONCACAF Nations League
We said: Honduras 0-2 Mexico
While Honduras will be keen to take a lead into a tricky away leg next week, we do not see the hosts having the quality to keep Mexico at bay and envisage Javier Aguirre's team taking control in San Pedro Sula. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Mexico win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.
Result | ||
Honduras | Draw | Mexico |
43.34% ( 0.2) | 26.03% ( -0.05) | 30.63% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 52.64% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.44% ( 0.16) | 51.55% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.65% ( 0.14) | 73.35% ( -0.14) |
Honduras Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.36% ( 0.17) | 23.64% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.26% ( 0.24) | 57.74% ( -0.24) |
Mexico Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.94% ( -0.02) | 31.06% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.63% ( -0.02) | 67.37% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Honduras 43.33%
Mexico 30.63%
Draw 26.03%
Honduras | Draw | Mexico |
1-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 43.33% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 30.63% |
How you voted: Honduras vs Mexico
Honduras
15.2%Draw
12.1%Mexico
72.7%33
Head to Head
Nov 22, 2023 2.30am
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Mexico
2-0
Honduras
(Aggregate 2-2 | Mexico win 4-2 on penalties)
Mar 28, 2022 12.05am
Oct 11, 2021 12am
Third Round
Mexico
3-0
Honduras
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-11-23 08:12:11
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Arsenal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
5 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 19 |
6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
7 | Fulham | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 18 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Aston Villa | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 16 |
11 | Brentford | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 16 |
12 | Bournemouth | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
17 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
19 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 6 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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