Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 55.29%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Compostela had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.15%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Compostela win it was 1-0 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Alaves in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Alaves.