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La Liga | Gameweek 7
Sep 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Alaves logo

Real Madrid
3 - 2
Alaves

Vazquez (1'), Mbappe (40'), Rodrygo (48')
Valverde (4'), Junior (30'), Endrick (83'), Modric (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Benavidez (85'), Kike (86')

The Match

Match Report

Real Madrid avoided an embarrassing late collapse to narrowly beat Alaves 3-2 as they conceded twice in a minute to make for a nervy end at the Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Alaves.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Alaves could line up in Tuesday's La Liga clash with Real Madrid.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Alaves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 4-1 Espanyol
Saturday, September 21 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Alaves 2-1 Sevilla
Friday, September 20 at 8pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 73.42%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 9.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.3%) and 3-0 (10.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawAlaves
73.42% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05) 16.84% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 9.75% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 45.69% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.04% (-0.134 -0.13)41.96% (0.136 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.64% (-0.133 -0.13)64.36% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.06% (-0.044999999999987 -0.04)9.94% (0.048100000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.1% (-0.10799999999999 -0.11)32.9% (0.11 0.11)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.74% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)49.26% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.86% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)84.14% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 73.4%
    Alaves 9.75%
    Draw 16.84%
Real MadridDrawAlaves
2-0 @ 13.04% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 11.3% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 10.04%
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 7.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.79% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.1% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.89% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.03% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 73.4%
1-1 @ 8.01% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.9% (0.03 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.27% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 16.84%
0-1 @ 3.47% (0.015 0.02)
1-2 @ 2.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.23% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 9.75%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Alaves

Real Madrid
88.8%
Draw
8.6%
Alaves
2.5%
197
Head to Head
May 14, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 36
Real Madrid
5-0
Alaves
Bellingham (10'), Junior (27', 70'), Valverde (45+1'), Guler (81')
Junior (52')

Duarte (50')
Dec 21, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 18
Alaves
0-1
Real Madrid

Duarte (45'), Lopez (83'), Tenaglia (90')
Vazquez (90+2')
Ancelotti (39'), Bellingham (84')
Nacho (54')
Feb 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 25
Real Madrid
3-0
Alaves
Asensio (63'), Junior (80'), Benzema (90+1' pen.)
Modric (33')

N'Diaye (48')
Aug 14, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 1
Alaves
1-4
Real Madrid
Joselu (65' pen.)
Garcia (35')
Benzema (48', 62'), Nacho (56'), Junior (90+2')
Bale (53'), Courtois (64')
Jan 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 20
Alaves
1-4
Real Madrid
Joselu (59')
Navarro (10'), Garcia (49'), Laguardia (79'), Sainz (85'), Mendez (90+2')
Casemiro (15'), Benzema (41', 70'), Hazard (45+1')
Militao (59'), Mendy (86'), Benzema (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal198653431330
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515


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