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La Liga
Alaves logo
La Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 20, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Sevilla logo

Alaves
2 - 1
Sevilla

Vicente (17'), Martin (60')
Guridi (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lukebakio (83')
Niguez (33'), Pedrosa (45+1'), Bade (75'), Salas (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Espanyol 3-2 Alaves
Saturday, September 14 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Sevilla

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Getafe
Saturday, September 14 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 1-1 Sevilla

 There have been 12 goals in the last two La Liga matches between these two sides, but we are expecting this to be a quieter affair. We are finding it tough to pick a winner on Friday night and have therefore had to settle on a low-scoring draw, which both managers would likely take ahead of kickoff. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 2-1 (7.87%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.

Result
AlavesDrawSevilla
40.42% (-0.221 -0.22) 29.24% (0.035 0.04) 30.34% (0.183 0.18)
Both teams to score 43.33% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.71% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)63.28% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.33% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)82.67% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29% (-0.16499999999999 -0.16)30.71% (0.162 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04% (-0.194 -0.19)66.96% (0.19 0.19)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.53% (0.103 0.1)37.47% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75% (0.103 0.1)74.25% (-0.107 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 40.41%
    Sevilla 30.34%
    Draw 29.23%
AlavesDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 13.58% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.02% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.87% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.16% (-0.035 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.1% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 40.41%
1-1 @ 13.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.5% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.23%
0-1 @ 11.29% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.55% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.54% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 30.34%

How you voted: Alaves vs Sevilla

Alaves
37.8%
Draw
34.4%
Sevilla
27.8%
209
Head to Head
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2-3
Alaves
Mir (70'), Ocampos (82' pen.)
Soumare (50'), Marcao (58'), Navas (63'), Mariano (73')
Tenaglia (26'), Kike (40'), Duarte (90')
Marin (23'), Benavidez (81'), Garcia (90+2'), Kike (90+1')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 2
Alaves
4-3
Sevilla
Rioja (7'), Duarte (44'), Kike (54', 59')
Gorosabel (90+1')
Abqar (15' og.), Lamela (41'), Mir (90+7')
Gudelj (62'), Torres (90+9')
> Preview
Jan 17, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Alaves
0-1
Sevilla
Rakitic (48')
Mar 4, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Alaves
0-0
Sevilla
Lejeune (34'), Duarte (49'), Pons (62')
Jordan (12')
> Preview
Nov 20, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 14
Sevilla
2-2
Alaves
Ocampos (38'), Rakitic (90+2')
Ocampos (45+6'), Mir (60'), Lopetegui (90+5'), Fernando (90+5'), Rakitic (90+5')
Laguardia (5'), Joselu (45+7' pen.)
N'Diaye (45'), Duarte (50'), Mendez (73'), Lejeune (89')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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