Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpia win with a probability of 48.99%. A win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olimpia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Deportivo Tachira win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olimpia would win this match.