Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Feb 18, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Centenario
Cerro Largo1 - 2Penarol
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Penarol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cerro Largo 2-0 Maldonado
Wednesday, December 6 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Wednesday, December 6 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 0-1 Liverpool
Saturday, December 16 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, December 16 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 50.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 23.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 1-0 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
Result | ||
Cerro Largo | Draw | Penarol |
23.16% ( 0.2) | 26.71% ( 0.5) | 50.13% ( -0.7) |
Both teams to score 45.14% ( -1.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.46% ( -1.57) | 58.54% ( 1.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.89% ( -1.24) | 79.11% ( 1.24) |
Cerro Largo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.99% ( -0.7) | 41.01% ( 0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.43% ( -0.63) | 77.57% ( 0.63) |
Penarol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.52% ( -0.98) | 23.48% ( 0.98) |