Copa Libertadores | Third Round
Apr 7, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain
San Lorenzo1 - 3Santos
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Santos had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Santos win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| San Lorenzo | Draw | Santos |
| 47.2% | 25.04% | 27.75% |
| Both teams to score 54.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
