Athletico PR1 - 0Racing
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, September 14 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
for
Saturday, September 14 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
for
We said: Athletico Paranaense 2-1 Racing Club
After such a convincing victory in their previous Copa Sudamericana affair, we believe Racing may be knocked down a peg against El Paranaense, who know what it is like to go deep into a competition like this and should provide much stiffer competition for the Argentines than Huachipato. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Athletico Paranaense.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Racing Club |
45.12% ( -0.13) | 26.21% ( 0.02) | 28.67% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 51.04% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.86% ( -0.04) | 53.14% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.29% ( -0.03) | 74.71% ( 0.03) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.53% ( -0.08) | 23.48% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.5% ( -0.11) | 57.5% ( 0.11) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.69% ( 0.06) | 33.31% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.07% ( 0.06) | 69.93% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 45.12% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 28.67% |
