MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 10:12:56| >> :60:182:182:
Athletico Paranaense
Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Sep 20, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Arena de Baixada

Athletico PR
1 - 0
Racing

Victor Machado Cruz (38')
Rocha (22'), Gabriel (26')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Martirena (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Athletico Paranaense and Racing Club, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Fortaleza
Saturday, September 14 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Racing Club

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Racing 2-1 Boca Juniors
Saturday, September 14 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Athletico Paranaense 2-1 Racing Club

 After such a convincing victory in their previous Copa Sudamericana affair, we believe Racing may be knocked down a peg against El Paranaense, who know what it is like to go deep into a competition like this and should provide much stiffer competition for the Argentines than Huachipato. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Athletico Paranaense.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawRacing Club
45.12% (-0.126 -0.13) 26.21% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 28.67% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 51.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.86% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)53.14% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.29% (-0.032 -0.03)74.71% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.53% (-0.077999999999989 -0.08)23.48% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.5% (-0.111 -0.11)57.5% (0.11 0.11)
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.69% (0.060000000000002 0.06)33.31% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.07% (0.064999999999998 0.06)69.93% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 45.12%
    Racing Club 28.67%
    Draw 26.2%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawRacing Club
1-0 @ 11.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.21% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.97% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.44% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 45.12%
1-1 @ 12.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.82% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 8.6% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.85% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 28.67%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Racing

Athletico Paranaense
61.3%
Draw
16.1%
Racing Club
22.6%
31
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!