MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 09:45:49| >> :60:29:29:
Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 27, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Peron
Athletico Paranaense

Racing
4 - 1
Athletico PR

Almendra (1'), Martinez (23'), Martinez (42'), Martirena (77')
Almendra (30'), Ignacio Nardoni (44')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Nikao (47')
Erick (35'), Canobbio (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Racing Club and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing Club

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Talleres 2-0 Racing
Sunday, September 22 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Criciuma 0-0 Athletico PR
Monday, September 23 at 12am in Brasileiro

We said: Racing Club 1-1 Athletico Paranaense

 Atletico Paranaense have their sights fixed on the Copa Sudamericana as they look to make up for their underwhelming domestic campaign. However, Gonzalez's men take on a Racing side who have been tough to crack at home and will be looking to find their feet after a difficult few weeks. While we expect Racing to go all out at the Estadio Presidente Peron, we predict that Paranaense will do just enough to frustrate the hosts and hold out for a share of the spoils to win the tie on aggregate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 47.26%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 26.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.

Result
Racing ClubDrawAthletico Paranaense
47.26% (0.07 0.07) 26.56% (-0.026 -0.03) 26.18% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 48.27% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.12% (0.062000000000005 0.06)55.87% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.01% (0.050000000000001 0.05)76.98% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Racing Club Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.35% (0.057999999999993 0.06)23.65% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.25% (0.085999999999999 0.09)57.75% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.22% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)36.77% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)73.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Racing Club 47.25%
    Athletico Paranaense 26.18%
    Draw 26.55%
Racing ClubDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 12.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.04% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.35% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.35% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 47.25%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.7% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.55%
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 26.18%

How you voted: Racing vs Athletico PR

Racing Club
78.6%
Draw
14.3%
Athletico Paranaense
7.1%
14
Head to Head
Sep 20, 2024 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Athletico PR
1-0
Racing
Victor Machado Cruz (38')
Rocha (22'), Gabriel (26')

Martirena (80')
> Preview
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